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Case Study: #2 Commercial Advisory

Background: Chinese wind turbine manufacturer, XEMC, approached Orchid to advise it on a brownfield wind power project in California that the firm was considering purchasing and re-powering with its own turbines.

Orchid's Role:

Orchid essentially acted as “financial advisor plus” for XEMC, filling some of the traditional roles of a financial advisor but leveraging our extensive industry experience to go beyond that role.
Orchid developed and maintained the financial model for valuing the acquisition.
Orchid led due diligence on the project with a particular emphasis on regulatory issues.
Orchid directed the third party legal adviser on the project.
Orchid supported XEMC in developing the documentation necessary for securing financing from Chinese lenders.
Orchid advised on and led negotiations with the seller.
Orchid also advised on other matters pertinent to the transaction as XEMC required.

Orchid's Deliverables:

Case Study: #1 Commercial Advisory

Background: Korea South-East Power Co. (“KOSEP”) was considering the acquisition of a greenfield CCGT project in Pennsylvania within the PJM market and hired Korea Ratings (“KR”) to assess the feasibility of the project. On behalf of KOSEP, KR hired Orchid to lead due diligence from on the ground.

Orchid's Role:

Orchid oversaw the development of a power market simulation of the PJM market.
Engaged a third party legal adviser and managed the legal review.
Provided an overview of the US power sector and the PJM market.
Provided an overview of the US natural gas market with emphasis on the Marcellus Shale.
Reviewed the project gas sourcing plan and provided feedback on options to procure gas.
Reviewed the power marketing plan and provided input on hedging and power sales options.
Orchid reviewed all contracts, permits and licenses for potential issues.
Critical problems were identified by Orchid. Project never constructed due to these issues. Developer eventually went bankrupt.

Orchid's Deliverables:

Case Study: #2 Market Research

Background: The Electricity Generating Public Company Limited wished to bid on the sale of a 49% stake in an 1800 MW CCGT in South Korea and needed an adviser to forecast power market prices and advise on issues related to LNG supply agreements and a terminal use agreement.

Orchid's Role:

A report on the project covering power sales, gas procurement, regulatory and permitting issues, identifying risks and proposing mitigation
The first step was providing client with an overview market report explaining in detail how the Korean power and gas markets operate, identifying risks and looking at evolution in market regulation and policies.
The second step was due diligence on all commercial agreements related to the project and production of a red flag report.
The third step was running a market simulation and developing the analysis in report form. We ran ten cases in total.
Finally, we advised client on issues related to LNG market risk, and provided input on mitigating risk in the transaction documents.

Orchid's Deliverables:

Case Study: #1 Market Research

Background: A confidential client was required by the lenders to two of its gas-fired power projects to demonstrate the competitiveness of its LNG supply agreements. Orchid Group was engaged to conduct the study.

Orchid's Role:

Orchid was engaged in 2018 to develop an outlook for new LNG contract prices over the next ten years.
The purpose of the work was to demonstrate to the lenders to client’s power projects that their LNG supply agreements would be competitive over the life of the loan.
We began by looking at historical supply/demand in LNG markets against evolving long-term contract price trends.
From there, we developed an outlook for global LNG supply and demand over the next 10 years.
Against the outlook, we assessed the trend for new project financial investment decisions and challenges facing the development of new projects.
Finally, we developed an expected price formula outlook for years 1-5 and years 6-10.

Orchid's Deliverables:

Case Study: Deal Origination

Background: Energy Initiative Japan (EIJ), a Japanese developer of solar projects hired Orchid to lead the sale of a portfolio of greenfield solar projects developed under the Feed-in-Tariff (FIT) established under the “Act on Special Measures Concerning the Procurement of Renewable Electrical Energy by Operators of Electric Utilities” in Japan.

Orchid's Role:

Orchid was engaged by EIJ to assist them in preparing the materials required to attract long-term investors in their portfolio of solar projects, approach investors and support concluding a transaction.
We worked with EIJ to understand the details behind the projects and to prepare the necessary materials for a data room including the financial model.
We identified high potential investor groups, prepared a teaser document and engaged the targeted buyers.
Throughout the investor review process, we managed relationships and facilitated the timely completion of due diligence.
We worked with EIJ and the preferred bidder to move towards the close of an SPA.
As a result of the process, Sonnedix of France acquired the projects.

Orchid's Deliverables:

Case Study: Strategy Consulting

Background: Doosan Heavy Industries (DHI) was eyeing the United States as their key market for selling wind turbines, but wanted to understand whether they could compete there, what models were most competitive the logistical network required for them to compete in the USA. They hired Orchid to help them work through developing market entry strategy.

Orchid's Role:

Orchid provided DHI with a comprehensive package complete with strategic options for entering the USA.

Detailed overview of the US market and outlook for wind growth
Trends in wind turbines in the USA including guarantees, O&M and other issues
Outlook for incentive programs
Issues related to financing wind projects
Regulatory overview
Competitor analysis
Strategic considerations

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Case Study: #2 Commercial Advisory

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Case Study: #1 Commercial Advisory

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Case Study: #2 Market Research

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Case Study: #1 Market Research

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Case Study: Deal Origination

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Case Study: Strategy Consulting

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